Hey Howler,
Az is right, if your water source isn't as predictable as last year, the turkeys may have moved on. They need to be at least a half mile from a good water source or seep. Sometimes, if the water isn't there and maybe some of the habitat has disappeared, the turks will fire up their engines and move on.
But it's still early, you may see turkeys as the seasons change. If some of the habitat has gone through some changes, like high grass that's now been cut, food plot or feeding area that's been removed or plowed over, they can become history quick. Turkeys need to have a safe avenue in and out of feeding areas. Let's say a farmer has cut some crp land which once was high grass. The birds need that high grass as an escape route from predators. If it ain't there...see ya.
If predatory birds have set up shop in the old roosting area, that of course can now become a problem. Lots of variables to consider. Go out there, check it out and see what the situation is. Predation from coyotes, raccoons, skunks, bobcats, opposoms can destroy turkey populations.
Good Luck!
Nice Bird Az!!!!
[This message has been edited by RedMist (edited 04-11-2001).]