Well those theories on the rut and its stimulation aren't all MY thinking... thats what a lot of experts and columnist come up with. Like I said, there are two obvious sides of the debate then there are a lot of other folks on the fringe with various theories. Some say does come into heat (they share variations of opinion on how she does it) then that creates the bucks rutting. Then others say the bucks begin the sign marking by rubs and scrapes (varying in opinion on when, where and why) then the does follow along by ovulating and sparking the true blue rut.
The rut is a topic like politics or religion amongst serious dedicated deer hunters. People get fighting mad over it! I personally hunt by the moon wheel, I find it a great piece of equipment and have been very sucessful with it. The moon will spark the ACTIVITY of deer, thus increasing the chances of a doe-in-heat passing down a trail.
I'd say the biggest difference I find in my style of hunting and other guys is, I hunt. Every day. All day. Its rainy, windy and the moon wheel says NO WAY I'm reading all that in my tree stand. My theory is "You can't kill em' on the couch" and I top that off with "A bad day in the woods is better than a good day in the office".
The risk a guy runs with this method is burning out, I've had guys tag along for a week or two but they always burn out... even if they don't want to admit it. I get the phone call on my way to the truck and I shake my head... usually let the awnsering machine get it, "Hey man, too many beers last night... gonna sleep in" I have never had a problem with burning out, although I sometimes lose the spark of an opening weekend I don't let the fire go out until the last day of season.
Spending all this time in the woods, weather it be hunting for myself or guiding whitetail hunts I get a lot of experience on movement and behavior. Top that off with up close observation of your quary all year round and you've got yourself a good knowledge base! With all of this in my back pocket I try not to read too much into what "experts" say in magazines... partially because I've hunted and bull****ted with some of these "experts"! I'm by no means saying that they are all full of BS but there are reasons they all dispute each other so much... they don't KNOW the awnsers.
I do know that your fawns are going to drop within a week or two of the same time every year and your looking at about 85% of them hitting the ground in a 5-7 day period. Therefor if you backtrack that means the rut is pretty predictable as well. After we see the rut we can mark it down and calculate the gestation period to find the drop days. If all you are after is knowing when to hunt predators you should be fine knowing that two week period, we need to research it much more thoroughly in order to be there the DAYS they drop so every year we do research and checkups to pinpoint it. When I say we... I really mean I'm a spectator /ubbthreads/images/graemlins/laugh.gif but if you want dates I could get them. There are always your early birds and your late bloomers... they vary a lot sometimes.
There are freak occurances of fawns dropping April just as there are some in August but then again you are back to quad odds. After years of trying to manage wild animals I don't doubt anything I hear... if a guy sees a newborn in October I just shake my head and wonder how the hell we're ever going to get a leg up on ours! /ubbthreads/images/graemlins/smile.gif Nature is weird, things happen but mother nature has a way of making things happen such that the chance of survival is highest. The more fawns that fall at once the better, the timing they fall is important on both ends of the doe's year... her leadup and post pregnancy is crucial much less the early life of the fawn.
We've actually had a very hard year on our fawns for some reason, vets can't tell us why. I haven't been seeing them in the wild much either, I don't think its a phamon type thing but it is definatly noticably worse than normal. I'll be getting into spotlighting a lot in the near future and I'll get a good feel for whats out there and whats going on. Do you spotlight KEEKEE? I find it pretty helpful and it always gets the blood pumping to say the least! /ubbthreads/images/graemlins/smile.gif
Hope this helps, if you want some better more concrete information give me the questions and I'll forward em' on too a couple guys.