The factory data is from their particular test barrel. It will surely be within SAAMI specs, but that allows a fair amount of leeway. Who knows what the actual specs of their barrel are, how much wear, how much leade, what the actual dimensions of the chamber and bore are, etc., and who knows what the actual specs of your barrel are (or how they compare to the test barrel).
The change in velocity per inch of barrel figures are very approximate, and in fact the actual change will depend on the type and caliber of bullet, the dimensions and condition of the bore, the type of powder used, etc.
Chrony accuracy can be affected by all you pointed out Striker and more besides (angle of sunlight, etc). Some of it (distance from muzzle for instance) is easily accounted for by simple math, and (most of) the rest will give error factors that are so screwy that it's obviously error.
There will be some error in any machine, but I would imagine that (discounting the factors above) the error will be in feet, not hundreds of feet. In any case the error should remain consistant. If you have an inaccurate tape measure that says one object is 12" and another is 11", the actual measurements may be 12.015" and 11.013", but the "12 inch" object is still absolutely longer than the "11 inch" regardless of any error in the tape's calibration.